Mets
Elo 1498 · #17 · 69-83
@
Mon, Sep 7, 12:11 PM CT
Final 9–4
Marlins
Elo 1501 · #16 · 76-77
Jonah Tong vs Eury Pérez
Mets RL
+1.5-163Kalshi
Marlins RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+106NoVig
U 8.5-108Kalshi
Mets ML
+127NoVig
Marlins ML
-129ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · in from CF (−3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
6
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Mets record
Overall69-84 · .451
Home34-44
Away35-40
Last 104-6
StreakL5
Marlins record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home45-33
Away31-44
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Marlins

Market55.6%
Model57.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineMarlins -129ProphetX-0.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Jonah Tong
Mets
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).
rating
105
ERA
3.99
FIP
4.01
K-BB%
15.1%
IP
144
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home733.451.188.43.0.230
Away714.541.3011.05.0.205
Night624.761.3310.34.5.222
vs LHB82—1.1910.74.3.200
vs RHB61—1.338.43.7.241

Injuries

Mets injuries
Cionel Pérez · P · Injured 15-Day
Daniel Duarte · P · Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams · P · Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco · DH · Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett · P · Injured 60-Day
Robert Stock · P · Injured 15-Day
Tylor Megill · P · Injured 60-Day
Marlins injuries
Adam Mazur · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi · P · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Bender · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer · P · Injured 15-Day
Owen Caissie · RF · Injured 10-Day
Pete Fairbanks · P · Injured 15-Day
Robby Snelling · P · Injured 60-Day
Ronny Henriquez · P · Injured 60-Day
William Kempner · P · Injured 60-Day