Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
@
Mon, Sep 7, 4:11 PM CT
Final 2–3
Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
Jake Irvin vs Nick Pivetta
Nationals RL
+1.5-119ProphetX
Padres RL
-1.5+117ProphetX
Over / Under
O 8.5+117Kalshi
U 8.5-120NoVig
Nationals ML
+182NoVig
Padres ML
-186NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
74°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 9 mph · crosswind
7 PM
9
8 PM
8
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2

Win probability — Padres

Market64.0%
Model56.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePadres -186NoVig-4.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Nationals
rating
93
ERA
5.51
FIP
4.94
K-BB%
11.7%
IP
96
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home406.581.669.54.8.288
Away574.761.248.64.0.213
Night456.451.438.54.8.237
vs LHB58—1.348.84.6.219
vs RHB37—1.589.63.9.284
rating
123
ERA
3.60
FIP
1.96
K-BB%
25.0%
IP
25
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home163.380.9410.12.8.172
Away94.001.1113.01.0.250
Night53.601.0014.41.8.211
vs LHB14—1.0211.22.0.212
vs RHB11—0.9711.12.4.190

Injuries

Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day
Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day