Guardians
Elo 1506 · #13 · 78-75
@
Mon, Sep 7, 12:36 PM CT
Final 4–6
Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
Joey Cantillo vs Trevor Rogers
Guardians RL
+0.5+125NoVig
Orioles RL
-0.5-133NoVig
Over / Under
O 7.5+117NoVig
U 7.5-120NoVig
Guardians ML
+125NoVig
Orioles ML
-127NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
3
Guardians record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3

Win probability — Orioles

Market55.8%
Model52.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineOrioles -127NoVig-1.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Guardians
rating
101
ERA
3.89
FIP
4.09
K-BB%
12.9%
IP
148
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home663.821.399.84.5.239
Away823.951.559.94.9.262
Night833.891.469.24.5.254
vs LHB39—1.336.74.2.239
vs RHB108—1.5411.15.0.256
rating
110
ERA
4.22
FIP
3.68
K-BB%
16.0%
IP
158
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home854.011.177.32.1.248
Away724.481.279.22.2.259
Night714.821.217.92.5.244
vs LHB41—0.978.92.2.197
vs RHB116—1.317.92.2.272

Injuries

Guardians injuries
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day
Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day