Diamondbacks
Elo 1511 · #12 · 80-73
@
Mon, Sep 7, 1:11 PM CT
Final 5–4
Royals
Elo 1480 · #23 · 67-85
Derek Law vs Noah Cameron
Diamondbacks RL
-1.5+164ProphetX
Royals RL
+1.5-168ProphetX
Over / Under
O 9.5+113Kalshi
U 9.5-117Kalshi
Diamondbacks ML
+104ProphetX
Royals ML
-104Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
92°F
Clear
Wind 4 mph · crosswind
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
5
Diamondbacks record
Overall80-73 · .523
Home43-35
Away37-38
Last 105-5
StreakL2
Royals record
Overall67-86 · .438
Home39-36
Away28-50
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Royals

Market50.8%
Model50.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRoyals -104Kalshi-0.8% EV
Totalunder 9.5 -117Kalshi · proj 8.28+1.0% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Derek Law
Diamondbacks
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).
rating
106
ERA
3.84
FIP
3.68
K-BB%
14.0%
IP
166
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home794.581.448.13.5.266
Away883.180.978.02.2.201
Night954.171.248.23.0.241
vs LHB38—1.328.32.1.273
vs RHB127—1.178.13.1.220

Injuries

Diamondbacks injuries
A.J. Puk · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank · P · Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Thompson · P · Injured 60-Day
Tyler Locklear · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Royals injuries
Alec Marsh · P · Injured 60-Day
Beck Way · P · Injured 15-Day
Carlos Estévez · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Ragans · P · Injured 60-Day
Connor Seabold · P · Injured 60-Day
James McArthur · P · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan India · 2B · Injured 60-Day
Luinder Avila · P · Injured 60-Day
Nick Mears · P · Injured 60-Day
Stephen Kolek · P · Injured 60-Day
Tony Gonsolin · P · Injured 15-Day