Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
@
Mon, Sep 7, 8:11 PM CT
Final 3–6
Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
Chase Burns vs TBD
Reds RL
+1.5-133NoVig
Dodgers RL
-1.5+133Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+108NoVig
U 8.5-108Kalshi
Reds ML
+160NoVig
Dodgers ML
-163Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
76°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · out to CF (+10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
8
10 PM
5
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1

Win probability — Dodgers

Market61.4%
Model57.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -163Kalshi-2.9% EV
Totalunder 8.5 -108Kalshi · proj 7.54+1.7% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

rating
121
ERA
2.80
FIP
3.26
K-BB%
20.6%
IP
151
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home732.091.109.63.7.195
Away783.461.1911.92.8.233
Night893.321.2411.43.4.226
vs LHB91—1.3711.34.4.232
vs RHB58—0.8610.31.5.189
TBD
Dodgers
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day