Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
@
Sun, Sep 13, 1:11 PM CT
Final 4–3
Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
Chase Burns vs Robert Gasser
Reds RL
+1.5-120NoVig
Brewers RL
-1.5+119ProphetX
Over / Under
O 7.5-117Kalshi
U 7.5+113Kalshi
Reds ML
+172ProphetX
Brewers ML
-178NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
64°F
Cloudy
Wind 4 mph · in from CF (−4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
4
10 PM
4
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1

Win probability — Brewers

Market63.4%
Model61.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -178NoVig-2.1% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
121
ERA
2.80
FIP
3.26
K-BB%
20.6%
IP
151
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home732.091.109.63.7.195
Away783.461.1911.92.8.233
Night893.321.2411.43.4.226
vs LHB91—1.3711.34.4.232
vs RHB58—0.8610.31.5.189
rating
103
ERA
4.30
FIP
4.15
K-BB%
14.6%
IP
96
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home503.621.238.23.3.231
Away475.011.319.12.5.255
Night653.881.288.32.8.249
vs LHB32—1.019.13.7.170
vs RHB64—1.408.42.5.275

Injuries

Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day