Guardians
Elo 1506 · #13 · 78-75
@
Sun, Sep 13, 1:11 PM CT
Final 9–2
Twins
Elo 1463 · #27 · 71-81
Tanner Bibee vs TBD
Guardians RL
+1.5-186Kalshi
Twins RL
-1.5+178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-113Kalshi
U 7.5+113NoVig
Guardians ML
+115NoVig
Twins ML
-117Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
67°F
Clear
Wind 6 mph · crosswind
7 PM
6
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Guardians record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2
Twins record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1

Win probability — Twins

Market53.6%
Model52.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineTwins -117Kalshi-1.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Guardians
rating
95
ERA
4.16
FIP
4.59
K-BB%
11.8%
IP
177
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home964.111.177.22.7.231
Away814.221.207.02.8.239
Night1324.091.147.62.4.233
vs LHB102—1.197.72.8.233
vs RHB74—1.196.32.7.237
TBD
Twins
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Guardians injuries
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day
Twins injuries
Anthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day