Angels
Elo 1444 · #28 · 58-94
@
Sun, Sep 13, 12:36 PM CT
Final 5–6
Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
Grayson Rodriguez vs Jake Irvin
Angels RL
+1.5-178Kalshi
Nationals RL
-1.5+170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 9.5+115NoVig
U 9.5-117Kalshi
Angels ML
+122ProphetX
Nationals ML
-117Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Angels record
Overall59-94 · .386
Home33-45
Away26-49
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Nationals

Market54.3%
Model57.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineNationals -117Kalshi+2.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
92
ERA
6.10
FIP
4.79
K-BB%
10.4%
IP
87
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home457.541.768.74.2.319
Away424.541.347.63.7.247
Night576.001.447.93.2.277
vs LHB48—1.888.45.0.318
vs RHB39—1.167.92.6.239
Nationals
rating
93
ERA
5.51
FIP
4.94
K-BB%
11.7%
IP
96
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home406.581.669.54.8.288
Away574.761.248.64.0.213
Night456.451.438.54.8.237
vs LHB58—1.348.84.6.219
vs RHB37—1.589.63.9.284

Injuries

Angels injuries
Anthony Rendon · 3B · Injured 60-Day
George Klassen · P · Injured 15-Day
Gustavo Campero · OF · Injured 10-Day
Jack Kochanowicz · P · Injured 60-Day
Nolan Schanuel · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Robert Stephenson · P · Injured 60-Day
Samy Natera Jr. · P · Injured 15-Day
Yoán Moncada · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day