Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
@
Sun, Sep 13, 12:36 PM CT
Final 9–4
Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
Andrew Painter vs Grant Holmes
Phillies RL
+1.5-170Kalshi
Braves RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-127Kalshi
U 8.5+128ProphetX
Phillies ML
+117Kalshi
Braves ML
-119ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
81°F
Clear
Wind 1 mph · in from CF (−1)
7 PM
1
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Braves

Market54.2%
Model59.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBraves -119ProphetX+2.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
93
ERA
5.54
FIP
4.73
K-BB%
11.2%
IP
115
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home536.111.458.82.9.283
Away625.051.436.93.8.264
Night725.381.357.83.1.259
vs LHB66—1.467.12.5.293
vs RHB49—1.428.84.6.243
rating
88
ERA
3.49
FIP
4.74
K-BB%
8.5%
IP
142
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home714.541.516.93.9.273
Away702.431.087.03.6.192
Night894.351.407.34.0.250
vs LHB87—1.266.64.1.220
vs RHB54—1.377.73.2.257

Injuries

Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day
Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day