Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
@
Sun, Sep 13, 12:38 PM CT
Final 1–8
Blue Jays
Elo 1514 · #11 · 76-77
Trevor Rogers vs Dylan Cease
Orioles RL
+1.5-163Kalshi
Blue Jays RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+111NoVig
U 7.5-113Kalshi
Orioles ML
+138Kalshi
Blue Jays ML
-141NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
71°F
Cloudy
Wind 2 mph · in from CF (−2)
7 PM
2
8 PM
5
9 PM
7
10 PM
6
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3
Blue Jays record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home40-38
Away36-39
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Blue Jays

Market58.0%
Model60.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBlue Jays -141NoVig+0.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
110
ERA
4.22
FIP
3.68
K-BB%
16.0%
IP
158
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home854.011.177.32.1.248
Away724.481.279.22.2.259
Night714.821.217.92.5.244
vs LHB41—0.978.92.2.197
vs RHB116—1.317.92.2.272
Blue Jays
rating
135
ERA
2.38
FIP
2.52
K-BB%
24.6%
IP
166
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home852.851.1813.64.2.198
Away811.890.9411.93.6.157
Night932.601.0912.13.5.198
vs LHB98—1.0213.14.1.161
vs RHB68—1.1312.33.6.202

Injuries

Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day
Blue Jays injuries
Addison Barger · RF · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Santander · RF · Injured 60-Day
Bowden Francis · P · Injured 60-Day
Cody Ponce · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Bloss · P · Injured 60-Day
Jameson Taillon · P · Injured 15-Day
Jonatan Clase · LF · Injured 60-Day
José Berríos · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Urías · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Patrick Corbin · P · Injured 60-Day
Rudy Martin Jr. · RF · Injured 10-Day
Shane Bieber · P · Injured 15-Day
Trey Yesavage · P · Injured 15-Day
Yimi García · P · Injured 60-Day