Guardians
Elo 1506 · #13 · 78-75
@
Tue, Sep 8, 5:36 PM CT
Final 9–5
Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
Tanner Bibee vs Brandon Young
Guardians RL
+1.5-186Kalshi
Orioles RL
-1.5+178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-101ProphetX
U 8.5+100Kalshi
Guardians ML
+113Kalshi
Orioles ML
-111NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
3
Guardians record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3

Win probability — Orioles

Market53.1%
Model52.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineOrioles -111NoVig+0.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Guardians
rating
95
ERA
4.16
FIP
4.59
K-BB%
11.8%
IP
177
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home964.111.177.22.7.231
Away814.221.207.02.8.239
Night1324.091.147.62.4.233
vs LHB102—1.197.72.8.233
vs RHB74—1.196.32.7.237
rating
92
ERA
3.64
FIP
4.59
K-BB%
10.0%
IP
146
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home803.951.367.73.0.261
Away663.271.396.83.8.254
Night1083.821.347.13.5.251
vs LHB89—1.346.54.5.229
vs RHB57—1.438.61.8.299

Injuries

Guardians injuries
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day
Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day