Mets
Elo 1498 · #17 · 69-83
@
Tue, Sep 8, 5:41 PM CT
Final 7–5
Marlins
Elo 1501 · #16 · 76-77
Sean Manaea vs Sandy Alcantara
Mets RL
+1.5-180ProphetX
Marlins RL
-1.5+178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-117Kalshi
U 7.5+117NoVig
Mets ML
+113Kalshi
Marlins ML
-115NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · in from CF (−3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
6
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Mets record
Overall69-84 · .451
Home34-44
Away35-40
Last 104-6
StreakL5
Marlins record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home45-33
Away31-44
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Marlins

Market53.7%
Model54.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineMarlins -115NoVig+0.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
103
ERA
4.74
FIP
4.34
K-BB%
15.1%
IP
139
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home674.731.349.12.8.266
Away724.751.318.12.5.264
Night805.271.448.22.8.284
vs LHB44—1.1510.62.2.242
vs RHB94—1.417.72.9.275
rating
96
ERA
3.84
FIP
4.05
K-BB%
10.6%
IP
206
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home923.141.076.82.6.211
Away1144.411.366.32.4.274
Night1364.501.266.32.6.252
vs LHB122—1.336.53.2.252
vs RHB83—1.106.61.6.240

Injuries

Mets injuries
Cionel Pérez · P · Injured 15-Day
Daniel Duarte · P · Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams · P · Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco · DH · Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett · P · Injured 60-Day
Robert Stock · P · Injured 15-Day
Tylor Megill · P · Injured 60-Day
Marlins injuries
Adam Mazur · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi · P · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Bender · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer · P · Injured 15-Day
Owen Caissie · RF · Injured 10-Day
Pete Fairbanks · P · Injured 15-Day
Robby Snelling · P · Injured 60-Day
Ronny Henriquez · P · Injured 60-Day
William Kempner · P · Injured 60-Day