Rays
Elo 1547 · #6 · 92-59
@
Tue, Sep 8, 6:16 PM CT
Final 7–1
Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
Freddy Peralta vs AJ Smith-Shawver
Rays RL
-1.5+170Kalshi
Braves RL
+1.5-178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+104Kalshi
U 8.5-108Kalshi
Rays ML
+104Kalshi
Braves ML
-106NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
81°F
Clear
Wind 1 mph · in from CF (−1)
7 PM
1
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Rays record
Overall93-59 · .612
Home53-25
Away40-34
Last 108-2
StreakW6
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Braves

Market51.4%
Model54.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBraves -106NoVig+1.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
99
ERA
4.67
FIP
4.35
K-BB%
12.8%
IP
158
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home843.661.278.84.0.219
Away745.811.417.82.5.281
Night745.931.478.22.2.296
vs LHB101—1.338.33.0.254
vs RHB57—1.368.43.8.241
rating
81
ERA
6.92
FIP
6.01
K-BB%
3.2%
IP
26
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home87.561.806.55.4.278
Away186.621.707.15.6.271
Night177.271.796.85.7.278
vs LHB15—1.634.74.7.274
vs RHB11—1.8810.16.8.273

Injuries

Rays injuries
Ben Williamson · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Edwin Uceta · P · Injured 60-Day
Garrett Cleavinger · P · Injured 15-Day
Gavin Lux · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley · P · Injured 60-Day
Manuel Rodríguez · P · Injured 15-Day
Ryan Pepiot · P · Injured 60-Day
Shane McClanahan · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Wells · P · Injured 15-Day
Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day