Diamondbacks
Elo 1511 · #12 · 80-73
@
Tue, Sep 8, 6:40 PM CT
Final 5–3
Royals
Elo 1480 · #23 · 67-85
Corbin Burnes vs Michael Wacha
Diamondbacks RL
-0.5-111NoVig
Royals RL
+0.5+104NoVig
Over / Under
O 9.5+115NoVig
U 9.5-116ProphetX
Diamondbacks ML
-108NoVig
Royals ML
+106NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
92°F
Clear
Wind 4 mph · crosswind
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
5
Diamondbacks record
Overall80-73 · .523
Home43-35
Away37-38
Last 105-5
StreakL2
Royals record
Overall67-86 · .438
Home39-36
Away28-50
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Royals

Market48.0%
Model49.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDiamondbacks -108NoVig-0.8% EV
Totalover 9.5 +115NoVig · proj 12.32+11.9% EV
Run lineRoyals +1.5 +104NoVig+22.3% EV

Starting pitchers

Corbin Burnes
Diamondbacks
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).
rating
100
ERA
3.34
FIP
4.26
K-BB%
13.2%
IP
189
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home892.931.047.02.4.210
Away1003.701.147.22.3.239
Night1372.821.027.22.2.212
vs LHB108—1.097.72.5.215
vs RHB80—1.136.42.1.241

Injuries

Diamondbacks injuries
A.J. Puk · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank · P · Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Thompson · P · Injured 60-Day
Tyler Locklear · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Royals injuries
Alec Marsh · P · Injured 60-Day
Beck Way · P · Injured 15-Day
Carlos Estévez · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Ragans · P · Injured 60-Day
Connor Seabold · P · Injured 60-Day
James McArthur · P · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan India · 2B · Injured 60-Day
Luinder Avila · P · Injured 60-Day
Nick Mears · P · Injured 60-Day
Stephen Kolek · P · Injured 60-Day
Tony Gonsolin · P · Injured 15-Day