Astros
Elo 1497 · #18 · 76-76
@
Tue, Sep 8, 5:41 PM CT
Final 65
Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
Hayden Wesneski vs Andrew Painter
Astros RL
+1.5-156Kalshi
Phillies RL
-1.5+150Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-108Kalshi
U 8.5+108NoVig
Astros ML
+125NoVig
Phillies ML
-125ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
5
9 PM
5
10 PM
3
Astros record
Overall77-76 · .503
Home39-39
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakW1
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Phillies

Market56.0%
Model54.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePhillies -125ProphetX-0.2% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
101
ERA
3.70
FIP
3.70
K-BB%
11.1%
IP
49
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home222.860.957.83.3.169
Away274.391.286.42.7.257
Night463.351.037.12.8.204
vs LHB281.097.02.5.221
vs RHB201.187.13.5.216
rating
93
ERA
5.54
FIP
4.73
K-BB%
11.2%
IP
115
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home536.111.458.82.9.283
Away625.051.436.93.8.264
Night725.381.357.83.1.259
vs LHB661.467.12.5.293
vs RHB491.428.84.6.243

Injuries

Astros injuries
Brandon Walter · P · Injured 60-Day
Brice Matthews · CF · Injured 60-Day
Carlos Correa · SS · Injured 60-Day
Mike Burrows · P · Injured 60-Day
Steven Okert · P · Injured 15-Day
Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day