Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
@
Tue, Sep 8, 9:11 PM CT
Final 2–3
Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
Nick Lodolo vs Tarik Skubal
Reds RL
+2.5-128ProphetX
Dodgers RL
-2.5+127Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-117Kalshi
U 7.5+113Kalshi
Reds ML
+285Kalshi
Dodgers ML
-280ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
76°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · out to CF (+10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
8
10 PM
5
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1

Win probability — Dodgers

Market73.9%
Model70.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -280ProphetX-1.0% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineDodgers -1.5 +127Kalshi+28.8% EV

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
84
ERA
5.12
FIP
5.43
K-BB%
8.6%
IP
97
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home594.581.376.73.8.257
Away385.971.678.44.1.309
Night595.311.427.94.4.252
vs LHB23—1.769.14.4.322
vs RHB74—1.416.83.8.264
rating
137
ERA
2.70
FIP
2.51
K-BB%
25.9%
IP
147
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home793.401.0610.91.9.226
Away671.870.8310.31.1.198
Night862.730.9711.41.6.216
vs LHB33—1.1012.71.1.252
vs RHB114—0.9110.11.7.202

Injuries

Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day