Pirates
Elo 1504 · #15 · 75-77
@
Tue, Sep 8, 6:41 PM CT
Final 9–3
White Sox
Elo 1497 · #19 · 77-75
Bubba Chandler vs Sean Burke
Pirates RL
+1.5-163Kalshi
White Sox RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-113Kalshi
Pirates ML
+129ProphetX
White Sox ML
-130NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
69°F
Cloudy
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
9
Pirates record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1
White Sox record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1

Win probability — White Sox

Market56.7%
Model58.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineWhite Sox -130NoVig+1.1% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
93
ERA
4.28
FIP
4.18
K-BB%
9.0%
IP
147
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home594.271.418.14.4.241
Away884.281.318.14.7.215
Night984.221.348.64.5.225
vs LHB80—1.438.14.9.234
vs RHB66—1.278.14.2.216
White Sox
rating
113
ERA
3.47
FIP
3.59
K-BB%
17.2%
IP
161
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home914.141.209.63.0.230
Away702.581.199.83.5.220
Night1073.771.269.92.9.246
vs LHB94—1.269.93.5.233
vs RHB66—1.149.63.0.215

Injuries

Pirates injuries
Braxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
White Sox injuries
Brooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day