Cubs
Elo 1559 · #4 · 85-68
@
Tue, Sep 8, 6:41 PM CT
Final 3–4
Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
David Peterson vs Jacob Misiorowski
Cubs RL
+1.5-113NoVig
Brewers RL
-1.5+113Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+113NoVig
U 7.5-113Kalshi
Cubs ML
+194Kalshi
Brewers ML
-194Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
64°F
Cloudy
Wind 4 mph · in from CF (−4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
4
10 PM
4
Cubs record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home45-33
Away40-35
Last 104-6
StreakW1
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1

Win probability — Brewers

Market65.9%
Model66.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -194Kalshi+0.3% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
95
ERA
5.11
FIP
4.08
K-BB%
10.0%
IP
137
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home726.031.698.54.4.294
Away664.111.407.73.7.254
Night816.021.678.64.3.293
vs LHB43—1.2211.82.1.246
vs RHB94—1.716.55.0.288
rating
151
ERA
1.89
FIP
2.13
K-BB%
31.6%
IP
166
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home901.610.7714.11.9.160
Away772.230.8612.12.7.159
Night941.810.8712.62.7.164
vs LHB95—0.6415.02.2.119
vs RHB72—1.0310.72.4.209

Injuries

Cubs injuries
Ben Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Cade Horton · P · Injured 60-Day
Dansby Swanson · SS · Injured 10-Day
Gavin Hollowell · P · Injured 15-Day
Hunter Harvey · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Steele · P · Injured 60-Day
Phil Maton · P · Injured 60-Day
Porter Hodge · P · Injured 60-Day
Riley Martin · P · Injured 60-Day
Shelby Miller · P · Injured 60-Day
Trent Thornton · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Austin · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day