Win probability — Giants
Market56.3%
Model58.1%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylineGiants —
Starting quarterbacks
Zach Wilson
Saints · QBQB Elo
-42
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
5.6
Games
21
Jameis Winston
Giants · QBQB Elo
-26
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
11.3
Games
14
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.