Win probability — Browns
Market31.5%
Model34.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylineRavens —
Starting quarterbacks
Lamar Jackson
Ravens · QBQB Elo
+99
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
55.0
Games
48
Deshaun Watson
Browns · QBQB Elo
-32
vs avg
Below avg
Raw value
9.2
Games
19
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.