Win probability — Raiders
Market30.4%
Model25.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = Elo (home field + power ratings, blended toward the market).
Model picks
Spreadno lean
MoneylineBills —
Starting quarterbacks
Josh Allen
Bills · QBQB Elo
+90
vs avg
Elite
Raw value
51.9
Games
56
Kirk Cousins
Raiders · QBQB Elo
+19
vs avg
Above avg
Raw value
27.1
Games
40
QB value is nfelo-style — Elo points above (+) or below (−) a league-average starter. The model applies the gap vs a team's usual starter when a different QB is projected.
Injuries
Bills injuriesTy Johnson · RB · Questionable
Hamstring
Cole Bishop · S · Questionable
Knee / Groin
T.J. Sanders · DE · Questionable
Knee / Illness
Raiders injuriesNo reported injuries.