Parker Messick vs Taj Bradley
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Matchup factors
Weather
67°F
Clear
Wind 6 mph · crosswind
7 PM
6
8 PM
1
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Guardians recordOverall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2
Twins recordOverall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1
Win probability — Twins
Market47.2%
Model48.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).
Model picks
MoneylineGuardians -113Kalshi-1.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean
Starting pitchers
Compare starters →ERA
2.57
FIP
3.15
K-BB%
19.6%
IP
178
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 93 | 2.90 | 1.15 | 10.2 | 2.4 | .234 |
| Away | 85 | 2.21 | 0.91 | 8.5 | 2.3 | .184 |
| Night | 114 | 2.37 | 0.99 | 9.4 | 2.1 | .207 |
| vs LHB | 47 | — | 1.20 | 9.1 | 2.5 | .242 |
| vs RHB | 131 | — | 0.98 | 9.6 | 2.3 | .200 |
ERA
3.81
FIP
4.02
K-BB%
16.9%
IP
165
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 80 | 3.05 | 1.10 | 10.4 | 3.6 | .194 |
| Away | 86 | 4.52 | 1.38 | 10.3 | 4.2 | .237 |
| Night | 91 | 4.27 | 1.21 | 11.3 | 3.7 | .215 |
| vs LHB | 99 | — | 1.26 | 10.8 | 4.6 | .204 |
| vs RHB | 67 | — | 1.23 | 9.6 | 3.0 | .235 |
Injuries
Guardians injuriesColin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day
Twins injuriesAnthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day