Mets
Elo 1498 · #17 · 69-83
@
Fri, Sep 11, 6:06 PM CT
Final 4–6
Yankees
Elo 1566 · #3 · 88-64
Nolan McLean vs Carlos Rodón
Mets RL
+1.5-178Kalshi
Yankees RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+113Kalshi
U 8.5-115NoVig
Mets ML
+122Kalshi
Yankees ML
-125NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
81°F
Cloudy
Wind 5 mph · out to CF (+5)
7 PM
5
8 PM
3
9 PM
2
10 PM
4
Mets record
Overall69-84 · .451
Home34-44
Away35-40
Last 104-6
StreakL5
Yankees record
Overall88-64 · .579
Home42-32
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1

Win probability — Yankees

Market55.3%
Model58.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineYankees -125NoVig+1.1% EV
Totalunder 8.5 -115NoVig · proj 6.96+3.2% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
113
ERA
3.24
FIP
3.51
K-BB%
17.0%
IP
167
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home863.571.3010.24.1.230
Away812.891.059.73.0.197
Night983.021.189.43.3.223
vs LHB97—1.3610.23.8.244
vs RHB69—0.959.73.3.168
rating
106
ERA
2.95
FIP
3.72
K-BB%
14.3%
IP
76
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home312.611.0010.43.2.180
Away453.181.219.35.4.177
Night402.681.1710.34.0.197
vs LHB19—1.1810.64.3.197
vs RHB58—1.119.54.5.172

Injuries

Mets injuries
Cionel Pérez · P · Injured 15-Day
Daniel Duarte · P · Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams · P · Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco · DH · Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett · P · Injured 60-Day
Robert Stock · P · Injured 15-Day
Tylor Megill · P · Injured 60-Day
Yankees injuries
Fernando Cruz · P · Injured 15-Day
Giancarlo Stanton · DH · Injured 60-Day
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Kervin Castro · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Weathers · P · Injured 15-Day
Trent Grisham · CF · Injured 10-Day