Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
@
Fri, Sep 11, 9:16 PM CT
Final 7–5
Giants
Elo 1476 · #24 · 65-89
Robbie Ray vs Anthony Molina
Padres RL
-1.5+127Kalshi
Giants RL
+1.5-133Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+117Kalshi
U 8.5-122Kalshi
Padres ML
-129ProphetX
Giants ML
+130NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
70°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 9 mph · out to CF (+9)
7 PM
9
8 PM
8
9 PM
9
10 PM
9
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2
Giants record
Overall64-89 · .418
Home36-39
Away28-50
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Giants

Market43.0%
Model52.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineGiants +130NoVig+5.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
86
ERA
3.60
FIP
4.80
K-BB%
8.0%
IP
162
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home823.201.357.05.2.214
Away814.021.318.34.0.236
Night973.711.277.94.6.212
vs LHB43—1.418.74.0.258
vs RHB117—1.327.44.9.213
rating
108
ERA
4.18
FIP
3.45
K-BB%
16.7%
IP
28
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home98.681.714.82.9.325
Away191.930.809.61.4.176
Night166.611.416.12.2.288
vs LHB16—1.095.70.6.258
vs RHB12—1.1410.93.6.196

Injuries

Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day
Giants injuries
Adrian Houser · P · Injured 60-Day
Carson Whisenhunt · P · Injured 60-Day
Casey Schmitt · LF · Injured 60-Day
Daniel Susac · C · Injured 60-Day
Harrison Bader · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hayden Birdsong · P · Injured 60-Day
JT Brubaker · P · Injured 10-Day
Jesus Rodriguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Joel Peguero · P · Injured 60-Day
José Buttó · P · Injured 60-Day
Keaton Winn · P · Injured 60-Day
Marcelo Mayer · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Matt Chapman · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Matt Gage · P · Injured 60-Day
Rafael Devers · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Randy Rodríguez · P · Injured 60-Day
Rowan Wick · P · Injured 60-Day
Sam Hentges · P · Injured 15-Day
Trevor McDonald · P · Injured 60-Day
Victor Bericoto · LF · Injured 10-Day
Willy Adames · SS · Injured 10-Day