Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
@
Fri, Sep 11, 6:08 PM CT
Final 7–4
Blue Jays
Elo 1514 · #11 · 76-77
Chris Bassitt vs Max Scherzer
Orioles RL
+1.5-178Kalshi
Blue Jays RL
-1.5+170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-113Kalshi
U 7.5+108Kalshi
Orioles ML
+125NoVig
Blue Jays ML
-127Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
71°F
Cloudy
Wind 2 mph · in from CF (−2)
7 PM
2
8 PM
5
9 PM
7
10 PM
6
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3
Blue Jays record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home40-38
Away36-39
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Blue Jays

Market55.4%
Model53.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBlue Jays -127Kalshi-2.0% EV
Totalover 7.5 -113Kalshi · proj 8.41+1.0% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
91
ERA
4.64
FIP
4.20
K-BB%
8.0%
IP
97
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home433.531.387.52.7.276
Away545.531.686.04.0.303
Night663.801.526.53.7.280
vs LHB56—1.726.64.0.310
vs RHB40—1.346.92.7.264
Blue Jays
rating
82
ERA
6.07
FIP
5.50
K-BB%
7.3%
IP
73
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home496.241.377.74.2.235
Away245.701.354.63.0.258
Night477.231.565.54.2.274
vs LHB43—1.715.35.1.280
vs RHB30—0.888.82.1.181

Injuries

Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day
Blue Jays injuries
Addison Barger · RF · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Santander · RF · Injured 60-Day
Bowden Francis · P · Injured 60-Day
Cody Ponce · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Bloss · P · Injured 60-Day
Jameson Taillon · P · Injured 15-Day
Jonatan Clase · LF · Injured 60-Day
José Berríos · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Urías · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Patrick Corbin · P · Injured 60-Day
Rudy Martin Jr. · RF · Injured 10-Day
Shane Bieber · P · Injured 15-Day
Trey Yesavage · P · Injured 15-Day
Yimi García · P · Injured 60-Day