Angels
Elo 1444 · #28 · 58-94
@
Fri, Sep 11, 5:46 PM CT
Final 3–4
Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
Yusei Kikuchi vs Cade Cavalli
Angels RL
+1.5-150Kalshi
Nationals RL
-1.5+150NoVig
Over / Under
O 7.5-104Kalshi
U 7.5+104NoVig
Angels ML
+138Kalshi
Nationals ML
-144Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Angels record
Overall59-94 · .386
Home33-45
Away26-49
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Nationals

Market58.3%
Model59.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineNationals -144Kalshi-0.7% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
98
ERA
5.03
FIP
4.23
K-BB%
11.5%
IP
57
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home224.031.3010.53.2.250
Away355.661.718.25.1.286
Night384.741.619.95.0.267
vs LHB14—1.6710.74.4.283
vs RHB43—1.528.74.4.268
Nationals
rating
124
ERA
3.11
FIP
3.14
K-BB%
21.3%
IP
165
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home913.251.1810.62.7.236
Away732.951.1510.62.6.229
Night823.071.1511.52.9.221
vs LHB96—1.2110.42.5.244
vs RHB68—1.1211.02.8.217

Injuries

Angels injuries
Anthony Rendon · 3B · Injured 60-Day
George Klassen · P · Injured 15-Day
Gustavo Campero · OF · Injured 10-Day
Jack Kochanowicz · P · Injured 60-Day
Nolan Schanuel · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Robert Stephenson · P · Injured 60-Day
Samy Natera Jr. · P · Injured 15-Day
Yoán Moncada · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day