Astros
Elo 1497 · #18 · 76-76
@
Fri, Sep 11, 6:11 PM CT
Final 13
Rays
Elo 1547 · #6 · 92-59
Miguel Ullola vs Drew Rasmussen
Astros RL
+1.5-138Kalshi
Rays RL
-1.5+135NoVig
Over / Under
O 7.5-108Kalshi
U 7.5+104Kalshi
Astros ML
+156Kalshi
Rays ML
-160NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
Roof closed
Neutral conditions
Astros record
Overall77-76 · .503
Home39-39
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakW1
Rays record
Overall93-59 · .612
Home53-25
Away40-34
Last 108-2
StreakW6

Win probability — Rays

Market61.1%
Model59.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRays -160NoVig-1.6% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Miguel Ullola
Astros
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).
rating
126
ERA
2.81
FIP
2.85
K-BB%
21.3%
IP
160
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home803.051.009.41.8.218
Away812.570.838.61.2.190
Night802.810.938.31.2.214
vs LHB901.0210.01.8.216
vs RHB680.807.91.2.187

Injuries

Astros injuries
Brandon Walter · P · Injured 60-Day
Brice Matthews · CF · Injured 60-Day
Carlos Correa · SS · Injured 60-Day
Mike Burrows · P · Injured 60-Day
Steven Okert · P · Injured 15-Day
Rays injuries
Ben Williamson · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Edwin Uceta · P · Injured 60-Day
Garrett Cleavinger · P · Injured 15-Day
Gavin Lux · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley · P · Injured 60-Day
Manuel Rodríguez · P · Injured 15-Day
Ryan Pepiot · P · Injured 60-Day
Shane McClanahan · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Wells · P · Injured 15-Day