Rockies
Elo 1399 · #30 · 56-96
@
Fri, Sep 11, 5:41 PM CT
Final 2–6
Tigers
Elo 1518 · #10 · 71-80
Mason Adams vs Framber Valdez
Rockies RL
+1.5-132ProphetX
Tigers RL
-1.5+130NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5+115NoVig
U 8.5-117Kalshi
Rockies ML
+163Kalshi
Tigers ML
-164ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
65°F
Cloudy
Wind 5 mph · crosswind
7 PM
5
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
5
Rockies record
Overall56-97 · .366
Home31-44
Away25-53
Last 101-9
StreakL2
Tigers record
Overall72-81 · .471
Home39-36
Away33-45
Last 107-3
StreakL2

Win probability — Tigers

Market62.2%
Model57.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineTigers -164ProphetX-2.2% EV
Totalunder 8.5 -117Kalshi · proj 7.65+0.9% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
91
ERA
5.09
FIP
6.16
K-BB%
10.9%
IP
23
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home99.002.228.04.0.410
Away142.571.299.65.1.208
Night185.501.729.05.0.304
vs LHB10—2.1310.46.1.341
vs RHB12—1.308.03.6.256
rating
93
ERA
4.01
FIP
4.02
K-BB%
8.6%
IP
164
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home794.001.356.03.2.256
Away854.021.387.33.4.259
Night1094.621.516.33.8.277
vs LHB39—1.379.52.8.268
vs RHB125—1.365.83.5.254

Injuries

Rockies injuries
Chase Dollander · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Quintana · P · Injured 60-Day
Kris Bryant · DH · Injured 60-Day
McCade Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Pierson Ohl · P · Injured 60-Day
Welinton Herrera · P · Injured 60-Day
Willi Castro · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Tigers injuries
Bailey Horn · P · Injured 60-Day
Burch Smith · P · Injured 60-Day
Jack Flaherty · P · Injured 15-Day
Justin Verlander · P · Injured 60-Day
Kerry Carpenter · RF · Injured 10-Day
Matt Vierling · CF · Injured 60-Day
Parker Meadows · CF · Injured 60-Day
Reese Olson · P · Injured 60-Day
Trey Sweeney · SS · Injured 60-Day
Wenceel Pérez · RF · Injured 60-Day
Will Vest · P · Injured 60-Day