Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
@
Sun, Sep 6, 9:11 PM CT
Final 5–7
Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
Andrew Alvarez vs Justin Wrobleski
Nationals RL
+1.5-116ProphetX
Dodgers RL
-1.5+113Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+111NoVig
U 8.5-113Kalshi
Nationals ML
+186Kalshi
Dodgers ML
-186NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
76°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · out to CF (+10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
8
10 PM
5
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1

Win probability — Dodgers

Market65.3%
Model58.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -186NoVig-2.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
105
ERA
3.35
FIP
3.28
K-BB%
12.2%
IP
102
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home583.411.228.73.9.217
Away443.271.348.84.5.228
Night684.371.437.94.8.241
vs LHB27—1.317.83.7.235
vs RHB74—1.289.24.4.217
rating
102
ERA
3.78
FIP
4.28
K-BB%
14.5%
IP
133
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home643.820.938.91.6.205
Away703.751.366.22.6.270
Night1013.731.137.81.8.241
vs LHB35—1.149.01.8.243
vs RHB98—1.167.02.2.239

Injuries

Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day
Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day