Twins
Elo 1463 · #27 · 71-81
@
Sun, Sep 6, 5:20 PM CT
Final 1–10
White Sox
Elo 1497 · #19 · 77-75
Bailey Ober vs Bryan Hudson
Twins RL
+1.5-163Kalshi
White Sox RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+100Kalshi
U 8.5-103ProphetX
Twins ML
+134ProphetX
White Sox ML
-135NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
69°F
Cloudy
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
9
Twins record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1
White Sox record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1

Win probability — White Sox

Market57.4%
Model60.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineWhite Sox -135NoVig+1.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
91
ERA
4.32
FIP
4.66
K-BB%
9.9%
IP
123
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home743.301.147.02.6.223
Away495.841.505.72.7.292
Night674.301.286.32.1.261
vs LHB71—1.225.02.6.241
vs RHB52—1.378.42.6.265
White Sox
rating
112
ERA
2.83
FIP
3.00
K-BB%
15.7%
IP
64
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home352.801.086.42.0.246
Away282.861.2710.52.9.252
Night393.661.228.72.3.266
vs LHB23—1.5210.63.9.281
vs RHB40—0.987.01.6.229

Injuries

Twins injuries
Anthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day
White Sox injuries
Brooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day