Yankees
Elo 1566 · #3 · 88-64
@
Sun, Sep 6, 3:10 PM CT
Final 3–4
Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
Gerrit Cole vs Michael King
Yankees RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Padres RL
+1.5-170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5+127Kalshi
U 7.5-127ProphetX
Yankees ML
-104Kalshi
Padres ML
+104Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
74°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 9 mph · crosswind
7 PM
9
8 PM
8
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Yankees record
Overall88-64 · .579
Home42-32
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2

Win probability — Padres

Market49.2%
Model44.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineYankees -104Kalshi+2.4% EV
Totalover 7.5 +127Kalshi · proj 8.32+5.9% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
114
ERA
3.67
FIP
4.00
K-BB%
20.0%
IP
115
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home533.931.019.21.4.223
Away633.451.239.12.0.255
Night793.191.149.12.0.236
vs LHB69—1.0810.12.1.222
vs RHB46—1.207.71.2.268
rating
98
ERA
3.03
FIP
4.13
K-BB%
11.5%
IP
175
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home892.741.127.93.4.212
Away863.341.187.33.4.218
Night1062.461.168.03.3.219
vs LHB110—1.167.43.6.211
vs RHB63—1.158.23.1.221

Injuries

Yankees injuries
Fernando Cruz · P · Injured 15-Day
Giancarlo Stanton · DH · Injured 60-Day
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Kervin Castro · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Weathers · P · Injured 15-Day
Trent Grisham · CF · Injured 10-Day
Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day