Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
@
Sun, Sep 6, 12:10 PM CT
Final 5–4
Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
Tyler Mahle vs Aaron Nola
Braves RL
-1.5+163Kalshi
Phillies RL
+1.5-170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-111NoVig
Braves ML
-102NoVig
Phillies ML
+100Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
5
9 PM
5
10 PM
3
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Phillies

Market50.0%
Model49.7%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBraves -102NoVig-0.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
105
ERA
3.91
FIP
3.99
K-BB%
14.7%
IP
138
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home712.291.037.82.7.208
Away675.611.478.82.9.289
Night884.381.287.73.2.254
vs LHB83—0.978.52.0.212
vs RHB54—1.678.04.0.300
Phillies
rating
100
ERA
4.69
FIP
4.92
K-BB%
15.9%
IP
161
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home755.301.469.62.8.288
Away874.151.298.83.3.245
Night1164.501.409.23.3.266
vs LHB96—1.478.94.3.255
vs RHB64—1.269.91.3.280

Injuries

Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day
Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day