Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
@
Sun, Sep 6, 11:10 AM CT
Final 8–12
Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
Kyle Harrison vs Brady Singer
Brewers RL
-1.5+120NoVig
Reds RL
+1.5-122Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-106NoVig
U 8.5+104Kalshi
Brewers ML
-133NoVig
Reds ML
+133Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
85°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
2
10 PM
3
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1

Win probability — Reds

Market43.0%
Model38.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -133NoVig+2.2% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
116
ERA
3.98
FIP
4.03
K-BB%
21.3%
IP
111
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home571.890.9312.32.0.193
Away546.201.719.43.4.313
Night724.981.4511.23.1.270
vs LHB34—1.049.91.3.236
vs RHB77—1.4311.43.3.265
rating
87
ERA
5.37
FIP
5.25
K-BB%
10.1%
IP
151
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home804.501.436.83.8.260
Away716.371.618.32.8.307
Night984.981.537.53.5.282
vs LHB94—1.628.73.1.304
vs RHB55—1.375.73.9.244

Injuries

Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day
Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day