Walbert Ureña vs Paul Skenes
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.
Matchup factors
Weather
78°F
Showers
Wind 4 mph · out to CF (+4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
1
10 PM
3
Angels recordOverall59-94 · .386
Home33-45
Away26-49
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Pirates recordOverall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1
Win probability — Pirates
Market63.7%
Model62.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).
Model picks
MoneylinePirates -178Kalshi-1.1% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean
Starting pitchers
Compare starters →ERA
2.88
FIP
3.61
K-BB%
11.0%
IP
137
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 78 | 2.42 | 1.13 | 9.1 | 4.2 | .186 |
| Away | 59 | 3.49 | 1.38 | 7.9 | 4.7 | .230 |
| Night | 102 | 2.81 | 1.26 | 8.5 | 4.6 | .204 |
| vs LHB | 74 | — | 1.44 | 7.9 | 5.5 | .223 |
| vs RHB | 62 | — | 1.02 | 9.6 | 3.2 | .184 |
ERA
3.78
FIP
3.14
K-BB%
20.9%
IP
162
| Split | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | OBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 88 | 3.70 | 1.12 | 11.3 | 2.5 | .228 |
| Away | 74 | 3.87 | 1.14 | 9.1 | 2.7 | .230 |
| Night | 102 | 3.52 | 1.07 | 10.6 | 2.6 | .211 |
| vs LHB | 96 | — | 1.13 | 9.8 | 3.0 | .218 |
| vs RHB | 65 | — | 1.15 | 11.0 | 1.9 | .243 |
Injuries
Angels injuriesAnthony Rendon · 3B · Injured 60-Day
George Klassen · P · Injured 15-Day
Gustavo Campero · OF · Injured 10-Day
Jack Kochanowicz · P · Injured 60-Day
Nolan Schanuel · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Robert Stephenson · P · Injured 60-Day
Samy Natera Jr. · P · Injured 15-Day
Yoán Moncada · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Pirates injuriesBraxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day