Tigers
Elo 1518 · #10 · 71-80
@
Sun, Sep 6, 12:40 PM CT
Final 2–3
Guardians
Elo 1506 · #13 · 78-75
Jackson Jobe vs Gavin Williams
Tigers RL
+1.5-144NoVig
Guardians RL
-1.5+141NoVig
Over / Under
O 7.5+127Kalshi
U 7.5-132ProphetX
Tigers ML
+156Kalshi
Guardians ML
-156ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
72°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · crosswind
7 PM
3
8 PM
3
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Tigers record
Overall72-81 · .471
Home39-36
Away33-45
Last 107-3
StreakL2
Guardians record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2

Win probability — Guardians

Market60.7%
Model59.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineGuardians -156ProphetX-0.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
100
ERA
3.89
FIP
4.62
K-BB%
14.2%
IP
35
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home145.021.4710.13.1.281
Away203.101.138.03.5.205
Night137.621.928.34.2.333
vs LHB26—1.108.23.4.204
vs RHB8—1.8811.33.4.324
rating
129
ERA
3.78
FIP
3.49
K-BB%
25.4%
IP
174
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home1013.041.0712.62.9.205
Away734.791.1511.53.0.223
Night994.621.2011.83.4.223
vs LHB107—0.9812.62.6.191
vs RHB66—1.3211.83.4.246

Injuries

Tigers injuries
Bailey Horn · P · Injured 60-Day
Burch Smith · P · Injured 60-Day
Jack Flaherty · P · Injured 15-Day
Justin Verlander · P · Injured 60-Day
Kerry Carpenter · RF · Injured 10-Day
Matt Vierling · CF · Injured 60-Day
Parker Meadows · CF · Injured 60-Day
Reese Olson · P · Injured 60-Day
Trey Sweeney · SS · Injured 60-Day
Wenceel Pérez · RF · Injured 60-Day
Will Vest · P · Injured 60-Day
Guardians injuries
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day