Diamondbacks
Elo 1511 · #12 · 80-73
@
Wed, Sep 9, 6:41 PM CT
Final 2–5
Royals
Elo 1480 · #23 · 67-85
Zac Gallen vs Daniel Lynch IV
Diamondbacks RL
-1.5+150Kalshi
Royals RL
+1.5-150NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5-108Kalshi
U 8.5+104NoVig
Diamondbacks ML
-108Kalshi
Royals ML
+113ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
92°F
Clear
Wind 4 mph · crosswind
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
5
Diamondbacks record
Overall80-73 · .523
Home43-35
Away37-38
Last 105-5
StreakL2
Royals record
Overall67-86 · .438
Home39-36
Away28-50
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Royals

Market47.5%
Model52.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRoyals +113ProphetX+4.3% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Diamondbacks
rating
80
ERA
6.22
FIP
5.40
K-BB%
6.4%
IP
101
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home475.791.466.01.9.301
Away556.591.665.13.8.308
Night677.161.655.12.8.319
vs LHB54—1.594.32.8.315
vs RHB47—1.546.83.0.292
rating
97
ERA
3.29
FIP
3.77
K-BB%
9.3%
IP
77
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home453.221.055.23.0.198
Away323.381.097.32.3.221
Night494.041.225.93.5.222
vs LHB30—0.706.61.2.160
vs RHB47—1.315.83.7.236

Injuries

Diamondbacks injuries
A.J. Puk · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank · P · Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Thompson · P · Injured 60-Day
Tyler Locklear · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Royals injuries
Alec Marsh · P · Injured 60-Day
Beck Way · P · Injured 15-Day
Carlos Estévez · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Ragans · P · Injured 60-Day
Connor Seabold · P · Injured 60-Day
James McArthur · P · Injured 60-Day
Jonathan India · 2B · Injured 60-Day
Luinder Avila · P · Injured 60-Day
Nick Mears · P · Injured 60-Day
Stephen Kolek · P · Injured 60-Day
Tony Gonsolin · P · Injured 15-Day