Twins
Elo 1463 · #27 · 71-81
@
Wed, Sep 9, 12:11 PM CT
Final 2–7
Tigers
Elo 1518 · #10 · 71-80
Zebby Matthews vs Keider Montero
Twins RL
+1.5-178Kalshi
Tigers RL
-1.5+178NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5-104Kalshi
U 8.5+102NoVig
Twins ML
+113Kalshi
Tigers ML
-111NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
65°F
Cloudy
Wind 5 mph · crosswind
7 PM
5
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
5
Twins record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home40-38
Away31-44
Last 103-7
StreakL1
Tigers record
Overall72-81 · .471
Home39-36
Away33-45
Last 107-3
StreakL2

Win probability — Tigers

Market52.6%
Model55.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineTigers -111NoVig+1.6% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
96
ERA
4.74
FIP
4.82
K-BB%
13.0%
IP
125
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home632.571.066.12.4.220
Away626.931.439.23.2.270
Night733.341.177.12.4.245
vs LHB69—1.418.53.4.262
vs RHB57—1.046.72.1.225
rating
97
ERA
3.58
FIP
4.03
K-BB%
10.8%
IP
151
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home893.431.105.12.0.233
Away623.790.997.42.3.199
Night733.441.066.82.2.218
vs LHB85—1.165.32.6.228
vs RHB66—0.917.11.5.207

Injuries

Twins injuries
Anthony Banda · P · Injured 60-Day
Byron Buxton · CF · Injured 10-Day
Cole Sands · P · Injured 60-Day
David Festa · P · Injured 60-Day
Kaelen Culpepper · SS · Injured 10-Day
Mick Abel · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Paredes · P · Injured 60-Day
Pablo López · P · Injured 60-Day
Tigers injuries
Bailey Horn · P · Injured 60-Day
Burch Smith · P · Injured 60-Day
Jack Flaherty · P · Injured 15-Day
Justin Verlander · P · Injured 60-Day
Kerry Carpenter · RF · Injured 10-Day
Matt Vierling · CF · Injured 60-Day
Parker Meadows · CF · Injured 60-Day
Reese Olson · P · Injured 60-Day
Trey Sweeney · SS · Injured 60-Day
Wenceel Pérez · RF · Injured 60-Day
Will Vest · P · Injured 60-Day