Mets
Elo 1498 · #17 · 69-83
@
Wed, Sep 9, 5:41 PM CT
Final 15–14
Marlins
Elo 1501 · #16 · 76-77
Robert Stock vs Janson Junk
Mets RL
+1.5-178NoVig
Marlins RL
-1.5+178Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-108Kalshi
U 8.5+111NoVig
Mets ML
+115NoVig
Marlins ML
-117Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Cloudy
Wind 3 mph · in from CF (−3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
6
9 PM
2
10 PM
2
Mets record
Overall69-84 · .451
Home34-44
Away35-40
Last 104-6
StreakL5
Marlins record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home45-33
Away31-44
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Marlins

Market53.3%
Model53.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineMarlins -117Kalshi-1.0% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
99
ERA
5.94
FIP
3.63
K-BB%
9.5%
IP
30
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home184.501.508.54.0.260
Away128.032.118.85.1.345
Night217.712.148.15.1.347
vs LHB20—1.788.74.6.294
vs RHB10—1.748.74.3.302
rating
94
ERA
4.50
FIP
4.25
K-BB%
9.7%
IP
114
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home684.391.186.31.9.252
Away464.661.586.03.3.303
Night844.931.436.02.6.286
vs LHB68—1.527.22.8.293
vs RHB46—1.094.72.0.240

Injuries

Mets injuries
Cionel Pérez · P · Injured 15-Day
Daniel Duarte · P · Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams · P · Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco · DH · Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett · P · Injured 60-Day
Robert Stock · P · Injured 15-Day
Tylor Megill · P · Injured 60-Day
Marlins injuries
Adam Mazur · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi · P · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Bender · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer · P · Injured 15-Day
Owen Caissie · RF · Injured 10-Day
Pete Fairbanks · P · Injured 15-Day
Robby Snelling · P · Injured 60-Day
Ronny Henriquez · P · Injured 60-Day
William Kempner · P · Injured 60-Day