Cubs
Elo 1559 · #4 · 85-68
@
Wed, Sep 9, 6:41 PM CT
Final 6–8
Brewers
Elo 1594 · #1 · 95-57
Kevin Gausman vs Logan Henderson
Cubs RL
+1.5-178Kalshi
Brewers RL
-1.5+170Kalshi
Over / Under
O 7.5-106NoVig
U 7.5+108Kalshi
Cubs ML
+120NoVig
Brewers ML
-122NoVig
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
64°F
Cloudy
Wind 4 mph · in from CF (−4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
2
9 PM
4
10 PM
4
Cubs record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home45-33
Away40-35
Last 104-6
StreakW1
Brewers record
Overall95-58 · .621
Home52-26
Away43-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1

Win probability — Brewers

Market54.7%
Model59.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineBrewers -122NoVig+2.4% EV
Totalover 7.5 -106NoVig · proj 8.27+0.8% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
112
ERA
4.55
FIP
3.84
K-BB%
18.0%
IP
172
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home953.871.239.61.8.263
Away775.401.338.83.2.253
Night1014.631.329.22.6.262
vs LHB97—1.298.62.9.251
vs RHB74—1.2610.31.8.267
rating
128
ERA
2.51
FIP
3.38
K-BB%
26.1%
IP
93
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home441.840.7710.21.6.169
Away493.100.8510.41.5.192
Night642.520.8110.51.7.176
vs LHB61—0.8010.51.8.174
vs RHB32—0.8410.11.1.195

Injuries

Cubs injuries
Ben Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Cade Horton · P · Injured 60-Day
Dansby Swanson · SS · Injured 10-Day
Gavin Hollowell · P · Injured 15-Day
Hunter Harvey · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Steele · P · Injured 60-Day
Phil Maton · P · Injured 60-Day
Porter Hodge · P · Injured 60-Day
Riley Martin · P · Injured 60-Day
Shelby Miller · P · Injured 60-Day
Trent Thornton · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Austin · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Brewers injuries
Angel Zerpa · P · Injured 60-Day
Brandon Woodruff · P · Injured 60-Day
Brian Fitzpatrick · P · Injured 60-Day
Bryse Wilson · P · Injured 15-Day
Grant Anderson · P · Injured 15-Day
Quinn Priester · P · Injured 60-Day
Rob Zastryzny · P · Injured 60-Day