Astros
Elo 1497 · #18 · 76-76
@
Wed, Sep 9, 5:41 PM CT
Final 7–11
Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
Hunter Brown vs Cristopher Sánchez
Astros RL
+1.5-150Kalshi
Phillies RL
-1.5+144Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+111NoVig
U 8.5-113Kalshi
Astros ML
+144Kalshi
Phillies ML
-142ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Clear
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
5
9 PM
5
10 PM
3
Astros record
Overall77-76 · .503
Home39-39
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakW1
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2

Win probability — Phillies

Market58.3%
Model60.4%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePhillies -142ProphetX+0.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
106
ERA
3.43
FIP
3.93
K-BB%
15.0%
IP
97
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home583.551.3710.85.5.212
Away393.261.169.33.0.222
Night703.361.2610.14.3.219
vs LHB57—1.2811.55.0.202
vs RHB39—1.348.64.0.235
rating
127
ERA
2.93
FIP
2.81
K-BB%
21.2%
IP
194
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home1142.211.149.92.3.233
Away803.951.3410.21.7.292
Night1322.531.1810.12.3.246
vs LHB50—0.6411.40.5.165
vs RHB141—1.469.72.6.286

Injuries

Astros injuries
Brandon Walter · P · Injured 60-Day
Brice Matthews · CF · Injured 60-Day
Carlos Correa · SS · Injured 60-Day
Mike Burrows · P · Injured 60-Day
Steven Okert · P · Injured 15-Day
Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day