Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
@
Wed, Sep 9, 3:11 PM CT
Final 2–9
Padres
Elo 1539 · #8 · 83-69
Jackson Kent vs Walker Buehler
Nationals RL
+1.5-132ProphetX
Padres RL
-1.5+127Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-108NoVig
Nationals ML
+167NoVig
Padres ML
-172ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
74°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 9 mph · crosswind
7 PM
9
8 PM
8
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Padres record
Overall84-69 · .549
Home46-29
Away38-40
Last 109-1
StreakW2

Win probability — Padres

Market62.4%
Model57.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePadres -172ProphetX-3.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
Nationals
rating
86
ERA
6.41
FIP
4.47
K-BB%
2.6%
IP
32
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home163.941.387.36.8.179
Away168.822.147.76.1.333
Night255.471.667.36.9.232
vs LHB8—1.568.64.3.257
vs RHB24—1.837.17.1.269
rating
95
ERA
4.58
FIP
4.45
K-BB%
11.2%
IP
143
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home774.111.277.03.3.245
Away675.131.498.43.5.275
Night914.341.457.13.9.264
vs LHB78—1.558.23.8.281
vs RHB64—1.177.23.0.231

Injuries

Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day
Padres injuries
Bryan Hoeing · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Sheets · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Jason Adam · P · Injured 60-Day
Jeremiah Estrada · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Musgrove · P · Injured 60-Day
Lucas Giolito · P · Injured 60-Day
Luis Rengifo · LF · Injured 60-Day
Miguel Andujar · DH · Injured 10-Day
Ramón Laureano · LF · Injured 60-Day