Reds
Elo 1464 · #26 · 71-81
@
Wed, Sep 9, 9:11 PM CT
Final 1–14
Dodgers
Elo 1571 · #2 · 92-60
Rhett Lowder vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Reds RL
+1.5+117NoVig
Dodgers RL
-1.5-117Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-102NoVig
U 8.5+100Kalshi
Reds ML
+257Kalshi
Dodgers ML
-260ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
76°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · out to CF (+10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
8
10 PM
5
Reds record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 102-8
StreakL1
Dodgers record
Overall93-60 · .608
Home47-28
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakW1

Win probability — Dodgers

Market71.8%
Model69.8%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDodgers -260ProphetX-1.4% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
88
ERA
5.79
FIP
4.74
K-BB%
8.3%
IP
124
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home634.161.317.23.2.246
Away627.441.747.04.2.302
Night875.091.406.73.0.267
vs LHB75—1.647.75.0.268
vs RHB49—1.346.21.6.285
rating
121
ERA
2.51
FIP
3.28
K-BB%
20.1%
IP
179
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home983.130.909.42.1.188
Away811.770.828.42.0.171
Night1492.770.919.12.3.185
vs LHB98—0.838.82.1.171
vs RHB80—0.939.32.0.192

Injuries

Reds injuries
Blake Dunn · CF · Injured 60-Day
Hunter Greene · P · Injured 60-Day
Michael Toglia · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Steer · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Dodgers injuries
Andy Pages · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ben Casparius · P · Injured 60-Day
Brusdar Graterol · P · Injured 60-Day
Dalton Rushing · C · Injured 10-Day
Edgardo Henriquez · P · Injured 15-Day
Edwin Díaz · P · Injured 15-Day
Eric Lauer · P · Injured 60-Day
Gavin Stone · P · Injured 60-Day
Jake Cousins · P · Injured 60-Day
Roki Sasaki · P · Injured 15-Day
Shohei Ohtani · TWP · Injured 15-Day
Will Klein · P · Injured 60-Day