Pirates
Elo 1504 · #15 · 75-77
@
Wed, Sep 9, 6:41 PM CT
Final 4–2
White Sox
Elo 1497 · #19 · 77-75
Lake Bachar vs Davis Martin
Pirates RL
+1.5-156Kalshi
White Sox RL
-1.5+150Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-104Kalshi
U 8.5+104NoVig
Pirates ML
+127Kalshi
White Sox ML
-130ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
69°F
Cloudy
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
9
Pirates record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home39-36
Away37-41
Last 106-4
StreakW1
White Sox record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home44-31
Away34-44
Last 103-7
StreakW1

Win probability — White Sox

Market57.0%
Model51.2%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineWhite Sox -130ProphetX-2.2% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
101
ERA
3.54
FIP
4.51
K-BB%
14.6%
IP
81
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home382.150.989.83.4.177
Away444.741.268.94.3.210
Night482.060.969.43.2.172
vs LHB43—1.419.95.1.221
vs RHB38—0.838.72.6.163
White Sox
rating
102
ERA
3.96
FIP
3.78
K-BB%
12.2%
IP
141
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home643.091.138.32.3.232
Away774.681.446.53.2.285
Night974.931.416.72.6.285
vs LHB82—1.387.03.5.260
vs RHB58—1.207.91.7.263

Injuries

Pirates injuries
Braxton Ashcraft · P · Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez · C · Injured 60-Day
Esmerlyn Valdez · RF · Injured 10-Day
Isaac Mattson · P · Injured 15-Day
Kirby Yates · P · Injured 15-Day
Mitch Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
White Sox injuries
Brooks Baldwin · LF · Injured 60-Day
Huascar Brazobán · P · Injured 15-Day
Joey Bart · C · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Leasure · P · Injured 60-Day
Ky Bush · P · Injured 60-Day
Mike Vasil · P · Injured 60-Day
Prelander Berroa · P · Injured 60-Day
Tanner Murray · LF · Injured 60-Day