Guardians
Elo 1506 · #13 · 78-75
@
Wed, Sep 9, 5:36 PM CT
Final 5–9
Orioles
Elo 1505 · #14 · 75-77
Foster Griffin vs Shane Baz
Guardians RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Orioles RL
+1.5-163Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-106NoVig
U 8.5+108Kalshi
Guardians ML
-106ProphetX
Orioles ML
+104Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
79°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
4
9 PM
4
10 PM
3
Guardians record
Overall78-75 · .510
Home38-40
Away40-35
Last 106-4
StreakW2
Orioles record
Overall75-78 · .490
Home36-39
Away39-39
Last 106-4
StreakW3

Win probability — Orioles

Market48.6%
Model49.3%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineGuardians -106ProphetX-0.5% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
106
ERA
3.67
FIP
4.00
K-BB%
15.3%
IP
167
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home843.431.237.92.5.251
Away833.921.168.42.4.236
Night943.531.128.22.0.235
vs LHB46—0.9510.51.9.198
vs RHB120—1.307.32.6.260
Orioles
rating
103
ERA
4.11
FIP
3.61
K-BB%
12.4%
IP
173
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home853.921.388.23.0.270
Away884.301.337.73.3.257
Night1213.941.317.73.1.253
vs LHB100—1.518.53.8.281
vs RHB73—1.137.12.2.238

Injuries

Guardians injuries
Colin Holderman · P · Injured 15-Day
Rhys Hoskins · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Shawn Armstrong · P · Injured 60-Day
Orioles injuries
Blaze Alexander · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Christian Franklin · CF · Injured 10-Day
Colin Selby · P · Injured 60-Day
Félix Bautista · P · Injured 60-Day
Jackson Holliday · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Jordan Westburg · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Keegan Akin · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Bradish · P · Injured 15-Day
Luis Robert Jr. · CF · Injured 10-Day
Ryan Helsley · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Mountcastle · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyler O'Neill · RF · Injured 10-Day
Zach Eflin · P · Injured 60-Day