Rockies
Elo 1399 · #30 · 56-96
@
Wed, Sep 9, 6:06 PM CT
Final 1–6
Yankees
Elo 1566 · #3 · 88-64
Tomoyuki Sugano vs Will Warren
Rockies RL
+1.5+106NoVig
Yankees RL
-1.5-104Kalshi
Over / Under
O 9.5+122Kalshi
U 9.5-120NoVig
Rockies ML
+223Kalshi
Yankees ML
-223Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
81°F
Cloudy
Wind 5 mph · out to CF (+5)
7 PM
5
8 PM
3
9 PM
2
10 PM
4
Rockies record
Overall56-97 · .366
Home31-44
Away25-53
Last 101-9
StreakL2
Yankees record
Overall88-64 · .579
Home42-32
Away46-32
Last 107-3
StreakL1

Win probability — Yankees

Market68.7%
Model67.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineYankees -223Kalshi-1.0% EV
Totalunder 9.5 -120NoVig · proj 8.4+1.9% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
81
ERA
5.49
FIP
5.54
K-BB%
8.5%
IP
143
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home745.351.355.01.9.286
Away695.641.375.92.4.277
Night915.261.325.82.1.276
vs LHB78—1.395.62.8.271
vs RHB64—1.345.21.4.295
rating
105
ERA
3.89
FIP
4.10
K-BB%
15.0%
IP
148
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home753.821.3110.82.6.259
Away733.961.407.13.6.261
Night855.171.499.23.7.269
vs LHB82—1.468.23.5.270
vs RHB65—1.2510.02.6.247

Injuries

Rockies injuries
Chase Dollander · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Quintana · P · Injured 60-Day
Kris Bryant · DH · Injured 60-Day
McCade Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Pierson Ohl · P · Injured 60-Day
Welinton Herrera · P · Injured 60-Day
Willi Castro · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Yankees injuries
Fernando Cruz · P · Injured 15-Day
Giancarlo Stanton · DH · Injured 60-Day
Jazz Chisholm Jr. · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Kervin Castro · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Weathers · P · Injured 15-Day
Trent Grisham · CF · Injured 10-Day