Angels
Elo 1444 · #28 · 58-94
@
Wed, Sep 9, 5:46 PM CT
Final 6–4
Red Sox
Elo 1550 · #5 · 82-70
Ryan Johnson vs Jake Bennett
Angels RL
+1.5-102NoVig
Red Sox RL
-1.5+104Kalshi
Over / Under
O 9.5+113Kalshi
U 9.5-117Kalshi
Angels ML
+199NoVig
Red Sox ML
-196ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
74°F
Cloudy
Wind 8 mph · out to CF (+8)
7 PM
8
8 PM
7
9 PM
4
10 PM
6
Angels record
Overall59-94 · .386
Home33-45
Away26-49
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Red Sox record
Overall83-70 · .542
Home38-37
Away45-33
Last 105-5
StreakW1

Win probability — Red Sox

Market66.1%
Model67.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRed Sox -196ProphetX+0.2% EV
Totalunder 9.5 -117Kalshi · proj 8.58+0.4% EV
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
82
ERA
4.88
FIP
5.54
K-BB%
8.0%
IP
90
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home454.201.318.64.0.227
Away455.561.375.43.8.256
Night654.291.267.33.3.234
vs LHB53—1.467.54.6.244
vs RHB37—1.186.32.9.237
rating
110
ERA
3.77
FIP
3.53
K-BB%
15.9%
IP
110
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home514.211.175.62.1.250
Away583.391.058.91.2.243
Night634.021.127.81.4.258
vs LHB30—0.819.42.4.158
vs RHB80—1.216.61.4.275

Injuries

Angels injuries
Anthony Rendon · 3B · Injured 60-Day
George Klassen · P · Injured 15-Day
Gustavo Campero · OF · Injured 10-Day
Jack Kochanowicz · P · Injured 60-Day
Nolan Schanuel · 1B · Injured 10-Day
Robert Stephenson · P · Injured 60-Day
Samy Natera Jr. · P · Injured 15-Day
Yoán Moncada · 3B · Injured 60-Day
Red Sox injuries
Anthony Seigler · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Ceddanne Rafaela · CF · Injured 10-Day
Curtis Mead · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Eduardo Rivera · P · Injured 60-Day
Eli White · CF · Injured 10-Day
Garrett Crochet · P · Injured 60-Day
Johan Oviedo · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Slaten · P · Injured 15-Day
Kutter Crawford · P · Injured 60-Day
Masataka Yoshida · DH · Injured 10-Day
Tanner Houck · P · Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyron Guerrero · P · Injured 15-Day
Zack Kelly · P · Injured 60-Day