Phillies
Elo 1543 · #7 · 83-68
@
Tue, Sep 15, 5:45 PM CT
Final 3–6
Nationals
Elo 1472 · #25 · 71-82
Cristopher Sánchez vs Jackson Kent
Phillies RL
-1.5-115NoVig
Nationals RL
+1.5+113Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5+113Kalshi
U 8.5-111NoVig
Phillies ML
-194Kalshi
Nationals ML
+188ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
78°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 3 mph · out to CF (+3)
7 PM
3
8 PM
2
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Phillies record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home41-34
Away44-34
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Nationals record
Overall71-82 · .464
Home37-41
Away34-41
Last 104-6
StreakL1

Win probability — Nationals

Market34.5%
Model42.0%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylinePhillies -194Kalshi-4.1% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
127
ERA
2.93
FIP
2.81
K-BB%
21.2%
IP
194
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home1142.211.149.92.3.233
Away803.951.3410.21.7.292
Night1322.531.1810.12.3.246
vs LHB50—0.6411.40.5.165
vs RHB141—1.469.72.6.286
Nationals
rating
86
ERA
6.41
FIP
4.47
K-BB%
2.6%
IP
32
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home163.941.387.36.8.179
Away168.822.147.76.1.333
Night255.471.667.36.9.232
vs LHB8—1.568.64.3.257
vs RHB24—1.837.17.1.269

Injuries

Phillies injuries
Adolis García · RF · Injured 60-Day
Brad Keller · P · Injured 60-Day
Caleb Kilian · P · Injured 15-Day
Felix Reyes · LF · Injured 60-Day
Jesús Luzardo · P · Injured 15-Day
Johan Rojas · CF · Injured 60-Day
Nationals injuries
Connelly Early · P · Injured 60-Day
DJ Herz · P · Injured 60-Day
Drew Millas · C · Injured 60-Day
Josiah Gray · P · Injured 60-Day
Ken Waldichuk · P · Injured 60-Day
Matt Waldron · P · Injured 60-Day
Mitchell Parker · P · Injured 60-Day
Orlando Ribalta · P · Injured 15-Day
PJ Poulin · P · Injured 60-Day