Red Sox
Elo 1550 · #5 · 82-70
@
Tue, Sep 15, 7:06 PM CT
Final 2–4
Rangers
Elo 1494 · #20 · 76-76
Patrick Sandoval vs TBD
Red Sox RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Rangers RL
+1.5-160NoVig
Over / Under
O 8.5+108Kalshi
U 8.5-113Kalshi
Red Sox ML
-107ProphetX
Rangers ML
+105ProphetX
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
97°F
Clear
Wind 10 mph · crosswind
7 PM
10
8 PM
9
9 PM
6
10 PM
5
Red Sox record
Overall83-70 · .542
Home38-37
Away45-33
Last 105-5
StreakW1
Rangers record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home42-33
Away34-44
Last 106-4
StreakL1

Win probability — Rangers

Market48.8%
Model48.6%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineRed Sox -107ProphetX-0.8% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

rating
101
ERA
4.99
FIP
3.91
K-BB%
12.4%
IP
58
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home304.451.788.34.2.325
Away275.601.7911.24.9.309
Night403.791.669.84.7.295
vs LHB15—2.3213.54.9.377
vs RHB42—1.638.54.5.293
TBD
Rangers
No rating yet (under 20 IP or not announced).

Injuries

Red Sox injuries
Anthony Seigler · 2B · Injured 10-Day
Ceddanne Rafaela · CF · Injured 10-Day
Curtis Mead · 3B · Injured 10-Day
Eduardo Rivera · P · Injured 60-Day
Eli White · CF · Injured 10-Day
Garrett Crochet · P · Injured 60-Day
Johan Oviedo · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Slaten · P · Injured 15-Day
Kutter Crawford · P · Injured 60-Day
Masataka Yoshida · DH · Injured 10-Day
Tanner Houck · P · Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas · 1B · Injured 60-Day
Tyron Guerrero · P · Injured 15-Day
Zack Kelly · P · Injured 60-Day
Rangers injuries
Carter Baumler · P · Injured 60-Day
Cole Winn · P · Injured 15-Day
Jack Leiter · P · Injured 60-Day
Jalen Beeks · P · Injured 60-Day
Jose Corniell · P · Injured 60-Day
Kyle Higashioka · C · Injured 10-Day
Michael Helman · CF · Injured 60-Day
Peyton Gray · P · Injured 15-Day