Marlins
Elo 1501 · #16 · 76-77
@
Tue, Sep 15, 8:40 PM CT
Final 4–2
Diamondbacks
Elo 1511 · #12 · 80-73
Janson Junk vs Michael Soroka
Marlins RL
+1.5-156Kalshi
Diamondbacks RL
-1.5+150Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-108Kalshi
U 8.5+106NoVig
Marlins ML
+134ProphetX
Diamondbacks ML
-138Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
89°F
Partly cloudy
Wind 4 mph · in from CF (−4)
7 PM
4
8 PM
4
9 PM
3
10 PM
3
Marlins record
Overall76-77 · .497
Home45-33
Away31-44
Last 105-5
StreakW2
Diamondbacks record
Overall80-73 · .523
Home43-35
Away37-38
Last 105-5
StreakL2

Win probability — Diamondbacks

Market57.8%
Model59.9%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineDiamondbacks -138Kalshi+0.7% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
94
ERA
4.50
FIP
4.25
K-BB%
9.7%
IP
114
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home684.391.186.31.9.252
Away464.661.586.03.3.303
Night844.931.436.02.6.286
vs LHB68—1.527.22.8.293
vs RHB46—1.094.72.0.240
Diamondbacks
rating
116
ERA
3.45
FIP
3.01
K-BB%
17.5%
IP
104
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home612.661.158.42.5.232
Away434.571.119.11.9.235
Night603.301.089.22.3.225
vs LHB60—1.327.82.3.270
vs RHB44—0.889.92.2.178

Injuries

Marlins injuries
Adam Mazur · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi · P · Injured 60-Day
Anthony Bender · P · Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer · P · Injured 15-Day
Owen Caissie · RF · Injured 10-Day
Pete Fairbanks · P · Injured 15-Day
Robby Snelling · P · Injured 60-Day
Ronny Henriquez · P · Injured 60-Day
William Kempner · P · Injured 60-Day
Diamondbacks injuries
A.J. Puk · P · Injured 60-Day
Andrew Saalfrank · P · Injured 60-Day
Cristian Mena · P · Injured 60-Day
Ryan Thompson · P · Injured 60-Day
Tyler Locklear · 1B · Injured 60-Day