Braves
Elo 1537 · #9 · 89-65
@
Tue, Sep 15, 6:40 PM CT
Final 6–3
Cubs
Elo 1559 · #4 · 85-68
Martín Pérez vs Kevin Gausman
Braves RL
+1.5-160NoVig
Cubs RL
-1.5+156Kalshi
Over / Under
O 8.5-104Kalshi
U 8.5+100Kalshi
Braves ML
+133Kalshi
Cubs ML
-133Kalshi
Best available across Kalshi, NoVig, and ProphetX at pull time.

Matchup factors

Weather
68°F
Cloudy
Wind 10 mph · in from CF (−10)
7 PM
10
8 PM
6
9 PM
5
10 PM
7
Braves record
Overall89-64 · .582
Home51-27
Away38-37
Last 104-6
StreakL1
Cubs record
Overall85-68 · .556
Home45-33
Away40-35
Last 104-6
StreakW1

Win probability — Cubs

Market56.6%
Model56.5%
Market = de-vigged consensus of the exchanges. Model = model_v2 (regressed toward the market on the card).

Model picks

MoneylineCubs -133Kalshi-0.9% EV
Totalno lean
Run lineno lean

Starting pitchers

Compare starters →
rating
88
ERA
3.07
FIP
4.29
K-BB%
7.0%
IP
138
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home751.801.046.23.8.178
Away634.601.526.94.0.273
Night902.901.276.54.4.213
vs LHB40—1.187.72.0.247
vs RHB98—1.296.14.7.214
rating
112
ERA
4.55
FIP
3.84
K-BB%
18.0%
IP
172
SplitIPERAWHIPK/9BB/9OBA
Home953.871.239.61.8.263
Away775.401.338.83.2.253
Night1014.631.329.22.6.262
vs LHB97—1.298.62.9.251
vs RHB74—1.2610.31.8.267

Injuries

Braves injuries
Bryce Elder · P · Injured 15-Day
Joe Jiménez · P · Injured 60-Day
Joey Wentz · P · Injured 60-Day
Lane Thomas · LF · Injured 10-Day
Reynaldo López · P · Injured 15-Day
Robert Suarez · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Schwellenbach · P · Injured 60-Day
Spencer Strider · P · Injured 60-Day
Cubs injuries
Ben Brown · P · Injured 60-Day
Cade Horton · P · Injured 60-Day
Dansby Swanson · SS · Injured 10-Day
Gavin Hollowell · P · Injured 15-Day
Hunter Harvey · P · Injured 60-Day
Justin Steele · P · Injured 60-Day
Phil Maton · P · Injured 60-Day
Porter Hodge · P · Injured 60-Day
Riley Martin · P · Injured 60-Day
Shelby Miller · P · Injured 60-Day
Trent Thornton · P · Injured 15-Day
Tyler Austin · 1B · Injured 60-Day